what's... your point exactly?https://twitter.com/ArisKatzourakis/status/1445038725529022475 …
They combed records of 74,196 infected people. Found *only* 315 re-infected. In the first run, 4049 hospitalizations. Second round: only 29, and they don't even know if for COVID. Green is initial encounter, when the virus is novel. Red, same 75K people, virus no longer novel.pic.twitter.com/IkZwUuAXs6
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So, again the 29 re-hospitalized out of the mere 315 re-infections is slightly proportionally larger (29/315=9.2%) than 4094 hospitalized out of 74,196 initial infections (5.4%). As they say, the tiny group susceptible to reinfection is proportionally more immunocompromised!
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This is how conditional probability works, also for vaccines: if you look at severe outcomes for vaccinated people, they are pretty uncommon (as is reinfection as this paper states!) but when they do occur, more likely to be immunocompromised or otherwise higher-risk.
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