Wow...
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I remember back in Jan/Feb everyone was marveling at how much countries like India had avoided Covid, and there was speculation that widespread natural immunity was somehow protecting the country. And then Delta hit…
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No. The deaths happened in about a month and a half. That’s just not how poverty deaths happen. Seriously, millions of people are dead and the specifics matter.
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A bot bit cynical but this is an illustration of the central limit theorem.
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FYI the ecominist’ estimation (global): https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-estimates …pic.twitter.com/hpRbTPNkVh
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There's another study that used indirect indicators through economic impacts and reached exactly the same range of numbers, even up to 4 millions in the highest possible range.
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These guys estimate 4.5 million: https://www.nber.org/papers/w29192 , which is similar to the estimates of The Economist. This 2.7 million figure appears to be among the most conservative estimate.
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And total Covid-19 mortality as declared by Government of India is 0.4 million
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