Disagree. We should be honest. IT IS A ZERO-SUM GAME. Vaccine manufacturers are not able to meet demand. Production is already maxed out. If we hoard or have vaccines expire rather than share, that doesn't make it a non zero-sum game, it just makes us morally bankrupt.https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1438103141216575490 …
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Yep. That is not the case whatsoever. Look, I understand nations make such choices. There are groups for whom a third shot can provide a measurable benefit, and I'm not begrudging any individual at risk wanting one. Of course. But it *is* a zero-sum game.https://twitter.com/cronokirby/status/1438115186813063173 …
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I've been writing, begging whatever little I can do since the beginning that we should do *whatever* we can do to increase supply—waiving patents is "thoughts and prayers", not enough—and to be serious about dose sparing and prioritizing. But here we are.https://twitter.com/Diegobez/status/1438117288331431950 …
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Yeah. Even countries with money can't find vaccines to purchase. Honestly, I think vaccine manufacturers have increased supply as much as they can, and it's not really patents that are the key bottleneck. We needed government-level global action. Tragic.https://twitter.com/chasewnelson/status/1438117742209495043 …
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I've no interest in defending patents *but* I believe this belief to be a misunderstanding and a leftover from the HIV fight. Scaling up/transferring vaccine production in a pandemic timescale needs much more than opening up the tech. We didn't do it.https://twitter.com/murchiston/status/1438122674874691591 …
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It's appealing to believe there is a non-zero sum solution to the global vaccine supply crisis—magical supply increase via waiving patents etc. There is not. Not blaming individuals. Not saying boosters wouldn't help (though clearly some more than others). But reality is reality.
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and not just simple "if we buy them here, they can't buy them there" there's 2nd & 3rd order stuff like "if the US will buy at a higher price, why would we sell to LMIC at low prices?" and shift/keep operations focused where they are
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All fair points! I think what I worded badly (or indeed just got wrong) and addressed more in my second point, is that I’m thinking more of real-world utility of a dose distributed to different parts of the world.
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Obv I think there’s far greater need to get first and second jabs to many developing countries than thirds to the rich. But from what I’ve seen and heard to date, it’s not clear that dose distributed to country A has the same chance of ending up in an arm as it does in country B.
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PS, our house is on fire: the US has the most raging COVID infection, of any place on Earth!; "every single infection prevented by a 3rd dose", helps break the US "chain of transmission" On a totally separate track, US can & should work tirelessly, 2 increase supply 2 3rd World
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