This is nonsense (“question” being SARS-CoV-2 as airborne). Chinese scientists did not “just know”—there had been work on this before including, crucially, from SARS. Western establishment tragically lags—but come on. Asian scientists did not figure it out via their sixth sense.https://twitter.com/kdrum/status/1435089995149168644 …
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So “as far as I know” is doing a lot of work here, but there is maaaybe this possibility that they had competent scientists and evidence, especially from SARS? I was reading their papers on this in February of 2020. Yeah papers, not “presumption” as in some intiutive Asian thing. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1435060205503631364 …
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It’s just not true that there was no real evidence or science on airborne transmission and we then caught up. Matt or Kevin might be unaware (fine!) but let’s please not rewrite history and minimize what actually happened. Asian “sixth sense” isn’t the explanatory variable here.
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Matt says he didn't mean it as I interpreted. Okay! Still strongly object to
@kdrum's phrasing of sides on this were "just know" against "just know" without actual scientific work. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1435280848899641348 …This Tweet is unavailable.Show this thread -
It’s actually incredibly difficult to do parts of it, like capturing live virus from the air. Nobody *ever* managed it for measles. Other evidentiary parts have different levels of difficulty, but “model and test” eek no. My jaw just drops when people have opinions so casually.https://twitter.com/kdrum/status/1435090198338039812 …
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People in Hong Kong started universal masking before viral cases showed up in the city or the government suggested it was necessary. It wasn't anything except that's what they did during SARS and they guessed it would be SARS 2.0. It's not even science, just experience.
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(I should say I'm not arguing with your point, I think you're right, just saying there is also an on-the-ground experience of public health measures already drilled into the public that many western nations did not have.)
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To be fair, the original whole tweet dismisses the existence of any evidence by any scientists (both Western & Chinese), which is going some! Think there could be a useful conversation about priors, as one replied, but shouldn't assume it's always priors rather than evidence.
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Dogma doesn’t care about evidence it’s a fact free belief system
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