Does it really show that, or does it just show that downside of that part is not as big as upside? I mean, could explain somewhat weakish effect size.
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Not trying to nitpick, but distinction could matter e.g., if nature of variants or social conditions change.
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In general, it feels like moral hazard arguments in this style are virtually never true. I can't think of a great example of the moral hazard effect being more significant than the first order effect.
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Almost never, and almost never (none that I know of) for self-protective behaviors like this. But it's so popular as an idea with a lot of people in powerful policy positions, including (in my experience) many doctors, economists etc.
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Bundan da haberiniz vardır herhalde.. John P.A. Ioannidis, MD, DSc Professor of Medicine, Epidemiology and Population Health, Biomedical Data Science and Statistics Stanford University.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8KzZXvT1g-k&t=2220s …
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MRs have used that argument before, that an extra safety net causes reckless behaviour when we know its nearly the opposite
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I’m guessing these are the same people believing working remote is unproductive.
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To be fair saying "but no I'm a sociologist" is gonna cause me to ignore everything they say after that.
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What would you like me to try to convince very stubborn medical doctors insisting (without evidence) that we should *not* recommend masks because it would cause harm by making people reckless and thus wash their hands less, and who are at a global gatekeeping position? (No joke).
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Undermining or "predicting" the general public reaction on following protective guidelines is not their business. "Thanks" to the pandemic, we unmasked , institutions, governments and some races that, via propaganda, showed them as the superior class of the world.
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