By this standard we should mask them until they are elderly or dead after Delta because there could eventually someday be another variant that puts us in potential ignorance again.
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I think the dilemma for people with kids under 12 is real, and I think it was an easier decision last year. Upside, parents can be vaccinated now. I think we cannot extrapolate too well from last year. And yeah it sucks for the kids, third school-year for some.
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If this is true, the question is, so what to do about it? How much do we spend trying to mitigate child transmission on top of all that we’ve already spent? Talking about delta’s transmission profile is all well and good, but it doesn’t answer the cost-benefit.
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There is no justification for EUA for children 5-11. If the FDA provides it, it will be for purely political reasons, and will not have clinical data to conclusively demonstrate efficacy vs risk. Uptake will be unlikely to top 20%.
End of conversation
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Again who cares? Spreading to whom? It all comes down to people who are vaccinated but potentially still vulnerable, which is not a group we've ever made policy around beyond the confines of an ICU.
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It also includes all kids under 12 who can't be vaccinated.
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