Also — herd effects provide indirect protection against infection for both vaccinated and unvaccinated (70% of adults in UK are fully vaccinated, plus those with natural immunity). This will further decrease apparent vaccine effectiveness, a relative measure.https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1422978581253087236 …
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What I think would be valuable would be a real-time forecast of your chances of contracting covid with/without vaccination in a given location.
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