If you think the R of this virus is single digits during an initial urban outbreak, you’re on another planet.
@biomathematicus @JacobBAguilar @LWestafer and I were rejected from “big journal” for finding this.
Why?
Our finding was “too high” because “SARS2 isn’t airborne”
https://twitter.com/kprather88/status/1420946300049059848 …
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Honestly, we didn’t see it as proof that it was airborne. We just saw it as evidence of an *extremely contagious pathogen. But it all fits. It’s always been “airborne enough” that I’ve sat out semantic arguments that are outside of my domain expertise.
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The circular part is there were (even until recently!) assertions that it couldn’t possibly be airborne because R not high enough. (TB is airborne but not high R0 but anyway). Then you submit evidence of high R… Can’t be because not airborne.
(Also overdispersion but yeah). - Show replies
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that we are hostage to this at every level in this pandemic, not least magical thinking at the political level.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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