I guess we'll all have to wait and see - but it's important to remember that a shift in probability outcomes certainly changes risk calculus, favors initial precaution. But it doesnt mean everything has changed, and analysis could be noisy in the beginning. End subtweet.
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Replying to @BrianRWasik
Yes to wait and see, but also wary of selecting on the dependent variable but not being cognizant of it in analyses or communication. It’s fine it’s the data you have, and you know what you do have… and, more importantly, don’t. Confusion ahead.
1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes -
Replying to @zeynep @BrianRWasik
Zoë McLaren, PhD Retweeted Zoë McLaren, PhD
Universal masking may make sense as a precaution. But breakthrough viral load data is from one preprint.https://twitter.com/ZoeMcLaren/status/1420918962322292739 …
Zoë McLaren, PhD added,
1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes -
Their deck also includes unpublished Provincetown VL datapic.twitter.com/btkbg1mDXv
3 replies 3 retweets 6 likes -
I don’t doubt Delta breakthroughs are transmitting, some, especially if symptomatic. This is from my piece last week. But what’s the denominator? Passive surveillance will lean towards sicker cases/clusters. What are we looking at overall?pic.twitter.com/5OCHNripGB
4 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
Also we stopped tracking breakthroughs unless hospitalized why? I was remembering the May conversations.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1394722401649299462 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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