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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 11 Jul 2021

    zeynep tufekci Retweeted Bloomberg

    “probability model using 6,000 matches” (Another example for that inappropriate methods syllabus).https://twitter.com/business/status/1412001077818540033 …

    zeynep tufekci added,

    BloombergVerified account @business
    Goldman Sachs predicts that England will win its first major tournament in 55 years, based on a probability model using 6,000 matches https://trib.al/erjtndF 
    3:46 PM - 11 Jul 2021
    • 65 Retweets
    • 459 Likes
    • mini sean 🥀 Emin Gün Sirer🔺 Caveat Auditor CocoX ThisIsAName 🌿 Dr. M. Tullius "No Mercy for Seditionists" Cicero David J Carr
    16 replies 65 retweets 459 likes
      1. Gianluca Di Tommaso‏ @gditom 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        thanks Goldman

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. John Wittenbraker‏ @WittTwitt 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        Maybe this is what they meant?pic.twitter.com/RVLz0HurJ1

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Craig A Counterman‏ @ccounterman 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @WittTwitt @zeynep

        Yes, took me a while to move from thinking of those matches. Thought they were lighting them and doing some sort of pyromancy.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Vinod Sreeharsha‏ @VinodSreeharsha 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        This short piece I wrote in 2014 may interest you:https://dealbook.nytimes.com/2014/07/14/a-goldman-world-cup-streak-weighs-on-brazil/ …

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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      2. Ed Marshall‏ @EEMthethird 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        I know of Monte Carlo simulations where the n was something silly because it would sound better to people who didn't really understand what they would be hearing anyway.

        2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. SBA‏ @SadBillAckman 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @EEMthethird

        pic.twitter.com/ycC2RE7QKj

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. bob‏ @huntthesnark 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        Nah they were just on the other side of the trade.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Özgür Kurtoğlu‏Verified account @BordeauxBlues 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        haha, oh. that’s cute, that Goldman Sachs thought football adheres to simple mathematical models used for most everything else. it never has and never will, that’s why it’s fun. 😅

        2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @BordeauxBlues

        But 6000 matches! So impressed. ✖️➗➕➖♾🧮

        0 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Dr. Lauren Zentz‏ @ElleZede 11 Jul 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        Whoops

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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