This is subtle, but important. Vaccination patterns changes conditional probabilities. In the UK, the people most prone to succumb to COVID, even if vaccinated, or even to common cold—yes, common colds can be fatal to the elderly—are the very people most likely to be vaccinated. https://twitter.com/BristOliver/status/1403984975788228611 …
-
-
Manaus reinfections weren't at thing because there was no random serosurvey as baseline--just a very skewed one from likely positive people. Not all claims are equally established. The transmissibility of alpha and delta were.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Except the certainty we have now, after the fact, that the vaccines would win that race wasn’t there for many prominent experts. That’s the point.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.