So do we still believe that 1) during the OG SARS epidemic, residents in a different but downwind building acquired virus from an infected building upwind, *and* that 2) risk of outdoors sars-cov-2 acquisition is so low we don't need masks?
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Absolutely my feelz as well. It doesn't rule out an airborne route of course, but perhaps via shared MTR travel etc
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Yeah. Wind between buildings through open window is a high bar for good reason, going to need more than probabilistic studies of window direction, and will definitely need to look at the more straightforward explanations and at least rule them out somewhat, right? Haven't seen.
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Within Block E? Sure, that looks strong. But the between-block data is weak (check previous papers) imo, and just probabilistic with a weak signal. Meanwhile, the bus station is right there, and people in Hong Kong take bus/subway and don't drive much. Haven't seen that traced.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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The packed minibuses from near the Amoy apartments to the MTR train station would be the much more likely transmission method in my view.
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Yeah. The bus/minibus from there seems really like a likely path, though it's also exactly how you get airborne transmission, too. Closed space, crowded... Anyway, too late to rule that out for that outbreak, but I've never been really convinced for that.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1404122097484550149 …
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In any case, surely the correct way to assess the risk of covid-19 transmission is the thousands of outbreaks of covid-19 that have happened, not a single outbreak of a different disease?
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We're just having a chat guy.
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