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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted

      This is subtle, but important. Vaccination patterns changes conditional probabilities. In the UK, the people most prone to succumb to COVID, even if vaccinated, or even to common cold—yes, common colds can be fatal to the elderly—are the very people most likely to be vaccinated. https://twitter.com/BristOliver/status/1403984975788228611 …

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    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted

      There's also this. As a population gets vaccinated, the denominator is changing. https://twitter.com/dylanhmorris/status/1393249536932339717 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

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    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

      Exponentials, conditional probabilities and shifting denominators are kinda counterintuitive to grasp, but but epidemics and vaccination campaigns through an ongoing epidemic really need all three to wrap one's mind around where we are.

      3 replies 10 retweets 122 likes
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      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

      Still, delta is the worst we've seen. If you notice my other thread. I'm still unable to find a way to disbelieve the numbers that are now coming out of India, as per excess deaths. Both transmissibility and severity look much higher. But the great threat is to the unvaccinated.

      9:23 PM - 13 Jun 2021
      • 31 Retweets
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      • Sherry_Reson Danny Ozment Tarek Loubani nfeehan / AKA 🦑🦑🦑 Angeliki Kapoglou 🌔 h̸̼̀a̴̗̓r̷̳͝p̴͙͊e̴̲̓r̴̘̀ 🤯 wombot 👀 (((Dr. Rick Orlina))) SiKzography MD
      10 replies 31 retweets 184 likes
        1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

          zeynep tufekci Retweeted Conor Kelly

          Also true. I hope Delta is all over the place already in the United States—it would mean we have less room to have worse things happen. (Unvaccinated regions/people remain at risk, and they will face a more severe disease).https://twitter.com/CohoKelly/status/1404299012098998275 …

          zeynep tufekci added,

          Conor Kelly @CohoKelly
          At this point, I’m rooting for delta to be as high a % as possible of US cases ASAP, since a day that goes by w/o cases going the wrong way is a good day https://twitter.com/alexbolze/status/1403074640080113665 …
          Show this thread
          2 replies 6 retweets 78 likes
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        1. CARRIGG BRUNN‏ @BrunnCarrigg 13 Jun 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Hard to see how it will be much different from when B117 became dominant. Only Michigan had a wave from it. Places with pockets of not fully vaccinated or low seroprevalence could spike up, but we won't have a national wave

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        1. SJB‏ @sj_barlament 13 Jun 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          I’ve seen the information about how the Pfizer may protect against Delta. What about the J&J?

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Lizzy Hawker‏ @lizzihawker 14 Jun 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          “But the great threat is to the unvaccinated.” — qualify that with the “greatest” threat… now numerous cases here in Nepal of vaccinated or partially vaccinated people becoming infected, plus reinfections. I have no data, this is simply amongst people I know & know of.

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        1. Rossini's Cat‏ @RossinisCat 14 Jun 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          How shld ppl w/o good vax weigh risk? High-risk mom in Iran IR just OK'd vax w/*no human trial data* How to weigh Cov high risk v IR vax unknown risk? 1) Get IR vax but assume low efficacy? 2) Skip IR vax, fly w/N95 to fam in Canada, get Pfizer? Or Cov risk of trip too high?

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        1. 心中的太隝是毛泽東 #TeamFauci‏ @shtuiothashuvot 14 Jun 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          The real question now is, do vaccinated people still have a risk returned to baseline?

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        1. next_ghost  💉 💉 💉‏ @next_ghost_cz 14 Jun 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          India had a countrywide religious festival in April which turned into a gigantic superspreader event. Hajj at the end of July could turn into a similar disaster for the Middle East but the rest of the world is most likely not at risk of such overnight COVID explosion.

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        1. Pajamas It Is‏ @HeckofaLiberal 14 Jun 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Worst as far as hysteria maybe. India is done and UK isn’t seeing huge deaths.pic.twitter.com/euqk7ige3z

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        1. PIMP MCGEE‏ @PIMPMCGEE 15 Jun 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          This is dishonest. India deaths per 100,000 is much lower than everywhere else. Why dont you print that?

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