This is subtle, but important. Vaccination patterns changes conditional probabilities. In the UK, the people most prone to succumb to COVID, even if vaccinated, or even to common cold—yes, common colds can be fatal to the elderly—are the very people most likely to be vaccinated. https://twitter.com/BristOliver/status/1403984975788228611 …
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Still, delta is the worst we've seen. If you notice my other thread. I'm still unable to find a way to disbelieve the numbers that are now coming out of India, as per excess deaths. Both transmissibility and severity look much higher. But the great threat is to the unvaccinated.
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Also true. I hope Delta is all over the place already in the United States—it would mean we have less room to have worse things happen. (Unvaccinated regions/people remain at risk, and they will face a more severe disease).https://twitter.com/CohoKelly/status/1404299012098998275 …
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But the epidemic resurgence in the UK which has, paradoxically, one of the most vaccinated populations in the world, thus raises the question of the effectiveness of AstraZeneca's vaccine, which continues to be used mainly there it represents the two thirds of inoculations.
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considering only 1/3 in hospital are vaccinated that kinda provides real life evidence they do work..
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