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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

    zeynep tufekci Retweeted

    This is subtle, but important. Vaccination patterns changes conditional probabilities. In the UK, the people most prone to succumb to COVID, even if vaccinated, or even to common cold—yes, common colds can be fatal to the elderly—are the very people most likely to be vaccinated. https://twitter.com/BristOliver/status/1403984975788228611 …

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    This Tweet is unavailable.
    9:16 PM - 13 Jun 2021
    • 81 Retweets
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    • Diogo do Couto Katie Tarek Loubani nfeehan / AKA 🦑🦑🦑 Angeliki Kapoglou 🌔 Karl Cuppazucchini K. Langoso 🇧🇷🔴🐷🇳🇬🏡😷 Matthew V.
    8 replies 81 retweets 335 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

        zeynep tufekci Retweeted

        There's also this. As a population gets vaccinated, the denominator is changing. https://twitter.com/dylanhmorris/status/1393249536932339717 …

        zeynep tufekci added,

        This Tweet is unavailable.
        1 reply 20 retweets 135 likes
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      3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

        Exponentials, conditional probabilities and shifting denominators are kinda counterintuitive to grasp, but but epidemics and vaccination campaigns through an ongoing epidemic really need all three to wrap one's mind around where we are.

        3 replies 10 retweets 122 likes
        Show this thread
      4. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

        Still, delta is the worst we've seen. If you notice my other thread. I'm still unable to find a way to disbelieve the numbers that are now coming out of India, as per excess deaths. Both transmissibility and severity look much higher. But the great threat is to the unvaccinated.

        10 replies 31 retweets 184 likes
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      5. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 13 Jun 2021

        zeynep tufekci Retweeted Conor Kelly

        Also true. I hope Delta is all over the place already in the United States—it would mean we have less room to have worse things happen. (Unvaccinated regions/people remain at risk, and they will face a more severe disease).https://twitter.com/CohoKelly/status/1404299012098998275 …

        zeynep tufekci added,

        Conor Kelly @CohoKelly
        At this point, I’m rooting for delta to be as high a % as possible of US cases ASAP, since a day that goes by w/o cases going the wrong way is a good day https://twitter.com/alexbolze/status/1403074640080113665 …
        Show this thread
        2 replies 6 retweets 78 likes
        Show this thread
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Adithya Ramachandran‏ @AdithyaR_YXE 13 Jun 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        This is a good point, and this is also why the stat "29% of Delta deaths in the UK were vaccinated" is impossible to interpret on its own. If 100% of people were vaxxed, 100% of deaths would be of vaxxed as well.

        1 reply 4 retweets 47 likes
      3. nearlytoolate‏ @nearlytoolate 14 Jun 2021
        Replying to @AdithyaR_YXE @zeynep

        Can’t be said often enough. Needs to get into mainstream media too @deb_cohen

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Little guys' SOS‏ @LgSOS 13 Jun 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        Spike-based vaccines are blowing up. Here is why. https://youtu.be/Du2wm5nhTXY 

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jayson DeMar‏ @jaysondemar 13 Jun 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        Yes and in these populations the vaccinated greatly (finally) outnumber the unvaccinated. Raw numbers also very low.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Jayson DeMar‏ @jaysondemar 13 Jun 2021
        Replying to @zeynep

        What’s also interesting about vaccination patterns is that the US has vaccinated many times the number of ppl under 35 that the UK has. This cohort seems to be driving infection spread in the UK…I think the difference will be meaningful in what we experience in the US w/ delta.

        1 reply 0 retweets 13 likes
      3. nearlytoolate‏ @nearlytoolate 14 Jun 2021
        Replying to @jaysondemar @zeynep

        Although your vulnerable cohort has lower uptake so when it does reach them it will hit harder. Agree we may have unwittingly taken a strategy that didn’t suppress transmission enough though.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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