At this moment in history the priority is any vaccine in maximum arms as soon as possible, starting with the most vulnerable and health-care workers where the crisis/outbreak is worst and prior immunity/vaccination is least. VE for symptomatic breakthroughs is lower on the list.
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There's a comforting but false fiction that we'll vaccinate the world, just a bit slowly. With even more transmissible variants like B.1.1.7 or B.1.617.2, that fiction is even more hollow. Many will be infected before they have a chance to get vaccinated. https://www.theinsight.org/p/we-need-to-get-real-about-how-the …pic.twitter.com/WnT1hKw3SI
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Tarek Milleron
I keep thinking about this. Billion remain unvaccinated, and without prior immunity, and outbreaks are getting harder to control. We could prevent so much suffering by getting vaccines out to the most vulnerable globally *as fast as possible.*https://twitter.com/TarekMilleron/status/1398341763664801792 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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I know this is hard to think about this, but... We're almost certainly all going to be introduced to this pathogen, one way or the other—vaccines or exposure. The current increased transmissibility path means the time to make that choice, affirmatively, is shorter and shorter.
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I believe the worst of the crisis is/will be over for many wealthy countries soon. We had large outbreaks and mass vaccination. In my view, our variant/efficacy fears are a bit misguided (though keep watching, sure). Not so for the many billions with little to no prior immunity.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted The Associated Press
So I see this. There’s not much to say until details are published. However, there’s enough we know from the other more transmissible variants to realize it’s already an emergency. Places like Vietnam *urgently* need vaccines—they had no outbreaks, hence little prior immunity.https://twitter.com/AP/status/1398652362353524737 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted
Ah, Alex shows up. Predictable rituals of life. I do want more data on the two vaccines from China, and the efficacy of both against symptomatic breakthroughs is lower. But from all real life data we have, they both greatly help prevent severe disease. https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1398743127876374531 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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If we can make billions of doses of mRNA vaccines, let's go. If the choice is none vs any vaccine, real life data says *any* vaccine will help prevent deaths. I'm not advocating for a singular path. WHATEVER WE CAN DO AS FAST AS POSSIBLE. That is our global moral responsibility.
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Remember the freak out over Seychelles because, despite widespread vaccination with AstraZeneca and Sinopharm, it had an increase cases (though mostly among the unvaccinated)? They had 14 deaths total for all of May, as far as I know none among the vaccinated. Vaccines work.pic.twitter.com/wVerUkmo1c
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They had an outbreak mostly among the remaining unvaccinated, people started reasoning from that the vaccines weren't working because the vaccinated had some cases, too. Thread of carnage among the unvaccinated *is* the point of my piece, along with why vaccines are the answer.
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Replying to @zeynep @PsyberAttack
In your NYTimes opinion piece, you support your assertions with a link to some guy’s Twitter that references no empirical evidence whatsoever.
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