The analogy here with HIV by @zeynep is quite compelling -- specifically that most HIV-related deaths occurred *after* we had effective ART. The same might be true about Covid and effective vaccines, unless distribution rapidly improves.https://www.theinsight.org/p/we-need-to-get-real-about-how-the?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxOTY2MTIxLCJwb3N0X2lkIjozNjk1MzQ5OCwiXyI6ImlLeHJaIiwiaWF0IjoxNjIyMjQzNzU1LCJleHAiOjE2MjIyNDczNTUsImlzcyI6InB1Yi0xMTg0Iiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.S1IzDV35qF9HgtPhsTI31d11ze0mxQ-TCQSk95142Vc …
Please read the article which explicitly does take that into account.
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