Folks, got an answer and closing it with this reminder. Wuhan is a big city! (Always bugs me how we did not realize the significance of it being shut down in January 2020 exactly, partly because we don't always realize how big a city it is).https://twitter.com/dangaristo/status/1397557597780258821 …
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Replying to @Dandy_Roddick
Yep. Once they shut it down, I thought that we were almost certainly getting a pandemic, just on the size calculations. In retrospect, we had a bit more of window, maybe, to contain because of overdispersion.
8:53 AM - 26 May 2021
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