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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 May 2021

      Today's @insight is a brilliant guest essay by @dylanhmorris explaining why novelty of this pathogen is so deeply related to everything we've been wondering about: variants, vaccine breakthrough cases, children, Long Covid, endemicity and more. https://www.theinsight.org/p/novelty-means-severity-the-key-to …pic.twitter.com/mMuVVAwd4Q

      20 replies 181 retweets 475 likes
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    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 May 2021

      Once we center *novelty* into our analytic framework for this pandemic, as @dylanhmorris does in this essay, so many things fall into place, including why some of our intuitions from other diseases can be misleading and why some of our worries aren't as big a deal as portrayed.

      3 replies 9 retweets 123 likes
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      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 May 2021

      Also the interaction between novelty, severity and our immune system means that a vaccine breakthrough case is NOT the same thing as a case in someone never infected or vaccinated, but we still need herd immunity for the immunocompromised and the elderly. https://www.theinsight.org/p/novelty-means-severity-the-key-to …pic.twitter.com/hBF8WXsvpV

      10:20 AM - 18 May 2021
      • 12 Retweets
      • 74 Likes
      • Pam Drouin Michael Daniels Timothy Lune James Lewis Dan Richardson Matthew Winter Princess Fay Meling Pao, R.Ac Chris Lancashire
      4 replies 12 retweets 74 likes
        1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 May 2021

          I've seen a lot of worries about vaccine breakthrough cases, like the Yankees' outbreak (I wrote about that a few days ago: https://www.theinsight.org/p/why-the-vaccine-are-a-home-run-despite …) or the Seychelles numbers. The essay by @dylanhmorris is excellent for putting science and intuition to work for thinking about it.

          6 replies 21 retweets 69 likes
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        1. Gordon Marx‏ @gershonmarx 18 May 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          And the kids under 12, at least until we get more pediatric approval

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        1. Argumemnon‏ @LeJaeger 18 May 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          How do they conform it is a true breakthrough *infection*, and not just an exposure to virus shortly before a routine PCR being administered?

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        1. Charles‏ @Charles60574837 18 May 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Breakthrough case, harder to get, but more deadly to those who do, 1% IFR, vs .5% IFR for unvaccinated, possibly higher 1% due to vulnerability that allowed breakthrough, but could be virulence of virus breaking bad. CDC halted 90% of breakthrough data 5/14, how bizarre, corrupt.

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