Yes, it's a small country, so the comparison is difficult. Bahrain is also very small, but 16 times larger than Seychelles, and we're seeing a similar phenomenon there. So, I am concerned.https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1394443930419142656 …
Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org
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Noah Smith 🐇 Retweeted Noah Smith 🐇
Yes, it's a small country, so the comparison is difficult. Bahrain is also very small, but 16 times larger than Seychelles, and we're seeing a similar phenomenon there. So, I am concerned.https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1394443930419142656 …
Noah Smith 🐇 added,
You’re again comparing a tiny country with extensive testing capacity and vaccination, with a one billion+ person country with 45% test positivity in some states and a mostly unvaccinated population. Even what a “confirmed case” means in Bahrain is not the same thing as India.
OK. But compare it to any other country, and it's still cause for concern.
The concern is that the Sinopharm vaccine is considerably less effective than other vaccines. Remember, this is a vaccine that we never got really good data on to begin with.https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/exclusive-who-experts-voice-very-low-confidence-some-sinopharm-covid-19-vaccine-2021-05-05/ …
If it turns out that Sinopharm is substantially less effective than other vaccines, that should affect countries' decision of which vaccine to purchase, and it should make exporting mRNA vaccines a more urgent priority for the U.S.
mRNA, but also J&J, Novavax, and AstraZeneca - all seem to provide substantially more protection against the new variants than Sinopharm. I'm curious about Sputnik and the Indian Covaxin.
Yeah, I have no idea where he's getting the numbers. Theoretically speaking, an inactivated virus vaccine would have an advantage against variants compared to a spike only one like the mRNA ones. But who knows, till we see some actual data?
Yeah, among the possibilities no? Seychelles fits that scenario, and it's not the worst outcome if that's the case since it would also maybe hold up better against variants (epitopes and all).
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