Sure keep an eye on this variant, like all others—but reality isn’t sufficient to scare parents, I guess so let’s add unlinked stuff together and add “double mutant” and mention schools and imply vaccine failure. Very informative.https://twitter.com/politicshome/status/1384160472912384007 …
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Even the school opening dates aren’t fully aligned with these overwhelmingly travel-linked 103 cases, but you never know! Double mutants can go from airports to schools without passing through the community, and can do time travel and turn vaccines into pumpkin.pic.twitter.com/i1QYp0HaHK
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Oh, wait it gets even better. Well, worse. I also learned that UK sequences *every* positive traveler (good idea) to check for variants, so those 103 cases that are mostly linked to international travel are likely overrepresented in the database—which wasn’t random to begin with.
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I’m all for keeping an eye on variants but... Yeah, this isn’t it.
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Correction: I’ve learned that Scottish primary schools opened in late February! But this is still garbled scaremongering and primary schools in Scotland have nothing to do with travel-linked 103 cases oversampled in a genomic database (really took five minutes to figure it out).https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1384055231432986628 …
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Chart is from non-random database. UK sequences every travel positive. There were 103 travel linked cases recently from India for this variant and the uptick is almost certainly that introduction, not “it’s outcompeting.” You can even see it’s those 103 cases by eyeballing chart.https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1384056092502597636 …
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While trying to object to his many misleading statements, many point out Dr. Ding is a nutritional epidemiologist or get personal. I don't think that's fair. I have far less credentials than him in the field. But that's not the issue: above took five minutes and third-grade math.
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The situation in India is dire, deserves our outmost attention. It may just be unchecked exponential growth OR we may eventually find that this variant has threatening attributes, including higher transmissibility. We can say all that, without the above. https://twitter.com/JoshNH4H/status/1384484179518312451 …
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Look, I am not picking on this thread alone but pointing out a pattern that needs to stop. See this example with ~4K retweets: "COVID REPLAPSE" and "may remain in people's brains". Study was *in mice* genetically-engineered to express this very receptor. https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1354549000247144449 …pic.twitter.com/nx3MPMLgbp
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Below is on my tweet on UK school dates. Answer:
@dgurdasani1 thought it was a correction I needed to make. Fine. Scotland schools opened for 5-7 year olds earlier. I don't know what it has to do with the recent ~10 travel-linked cases in Scotland.https://twitter.com/byrnesong/status/1384582352010158084 …Show this thread -
UK has a public database—useful even if skewed towards detecting traveler variants. When I have another 10 minutes, I'll create the day-by-day chart of these mostly travel-linked B.1.167 cases that got Eric to declare "it’s outcompeting" illustrated with a cumulative log chart.
pic.twitter.com/lFYNEV2apb
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End of conversation
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