I agree we should better explain the dramatic risk reduction after vaccines. I've long been shouting from rooftops about the need to communicate better that they will greatly blunt transmission. On the other other hand, infectious risks are different category than car crashes.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1383926074380210183 …
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Isn't the issue that we don't fully understand the transmission risks. We know they are low once vaccinated, but we don't know how low. Nor do we fully understand the transmissibility of variants. Wearing masks and distancing are not particularly inconvenient so why not do them?
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CDC says vaccinated don’t need to quarantine after a known exposure to a positive case, and don’t need to test or quarantine for travel. Hardly seems advice for people likely to carry and transmit.https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/fully-vaccinated-guidance.html …
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The recommendations on what you should do are.
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I think being v straight up about risk assessment would give Americans some faith in public health and I really believe they would make better decisions and be less cynical and self-interested. Paternalistic leadership makes populations fed up.
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I'm not at all clear on post-vaccination transmission. To me, it appears to be very, very, very low. But current guidance doesn't convey that or give permission to people to ease up, at all. Imo, people aren't acting irrationally, they are following guidance.
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In particular, I feel like the recent evidence that clarifies more precisely what the risk is, are not being communicated. The message is still "yes, it is lower but we don't know by how much". Yet, we do know more about the "by how much" part, no?
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Car crashes do have transmission chains. Pile ups happen. Rubber necking happens. Ambulances speeding to an accident crash.
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