Oh boy, that’s not how we estimate vaccine effectiveness. With 100k likes and counting.
H/t @cmyeatonhttps://twitter.com/PatFanelli/status/1382690261776666635 …
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It’s what comes out of randomized trials.
We could go back and tell people the rates in the vaccine and placebo arms to help them understand, but it represents a particular moment including the winter surge. It doesn’t generalize. VE is the generalizable quantity. -
Your point is very well taken. I wish there were something easier to understand and explain. But I just don’t know what it would be.

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