Skip to content
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
Verified account
@zeynep

Tweets

zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

Tweets

  • © 2022 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021

      Similarly, previous (not that well-established) claims of high infection rate through models based on (maybe, maybe-not accurate) nonrandom seroprevalance are NOT, by themselves proof of widespread reinfection, or even that reinfected cases are severe or equally contagious etc.

      1 reply 5 retweets 107 likes
      Show this thread
    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021

      I used to teach methods and stats for sociology students, and epidemiology examples were always very useful because they really are among the thorniest to try to untangle. And I believe harmful to overclaim, and not necessary to do so to make basic public health recommendations.

      2 replies 11 retweets 196 likes
      Show this thread
    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Eric Feigl-Ding

      For example, the Brazil situation is horrific and deserves immediate attention, but this thread below is an example of how not to draw conclusions about P1 and it’s differential effect on young people. (The situation is bad enough without making unsupported claims like this).https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1379995247812444162 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Eric Feigl-DingVerified account @DrEricDing
      Let this sink in—over **half of all intubated young adults** on ventilators now dies from #COVID19 in Brazil 🇧🇷. What’s odds last spring 2020? 1 in 3. That is likely an effect of #P1 variant—not just ICU capacity because March 2021 wasn’t included yet. 🧵 (HT @terrence_mccoy) pic.twitter.com/mHY5Vfqu0i
      Show this thread
      12 replies 53 retweets 272 likes
      Show this thread
    4. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021

      Similarly, it’s likely that P1 is more transmissible than the wildtype, but what’s happening in Brazil is completely compatible with an unchecked epidemic causing hospital system collapse even without higher transmissibility let alone any—unproven, speculative—effect on severity.

      6 replies 12 retweets 220 likes
      Show this thread
    5. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Alexis C. Madrigal

      Yes, of course. There are *SO MANY* confounders like that. We saw admission criteria change even in the United States during surges, affecting a lot of hospital-level statistics. Making claims about characteristics of variants/surges is hard, and it’s important to be careful.https://twitter.com/alexismadrigal/status/1380152737204072448 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Alexis C. MadrigalVerified account @alexismadrigal
      Replying to @zeynep
      One more factor: changing admissions criteria. It could be that more very sick young people are being admitted because more vulnerable older people are not taking up beds.
      3 replies 5 retweets 173 likes
      Show this thread
    6. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Dr. Angela Rasmussen

      Also. Do note that I’m not even coming close to claiming listing all possible issues/confounders in a thread, but just saying there’s a reason to be wary of back-of-the-envelope calculations that are either comforting (herd immunity!) or alarming (more severe among the young!).https://twitter.com/angie_rasmussen/status/1380149045365145600 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Dr. Angela RasmussenVerified account @angie_rasmussen
      Replying to @zeynep
      Seroprevalence is also not the sole metric to assess herd immunity
      1 reply 5 retweets 143 likes
      Show this thread
    7. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Zain Chagla

      And more. These things really are hard, and there is no contradiction between epistemic humility when we do not yet understand all the characteristics of a surge/variant, and advocating to do all we can to limit the suffering regardless.https://twitter.com/zchagla/status/1380147897988177920 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Zain ChaglaVerified account @zchagla
      Replying to @zeynep
      Yes - especially in LMIC or places where testing is all over the place Young people coming in droves to ICU in an area with questionable testing could be a) Increased virulence b) Baseline risk with a LOT of younger people infected and only seeing tip of the iceberg.
      1 reply 9 retweets 124 likes
      Show this thread
    8. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021

      As a simple cautionary example on not being too confident about reinfections driving Brazil’s P1 surge, compare with Uruguay (no past surge, hence cannot be reinfections). Uruguay also has P1 at least rising. Maybe earlier blood-bank sero study is unrepresentative? Hard to know.pic.twitter.com/NMIDvIVKtr

      8 replies 13 retweets 108 likes
      Show this thread
    9. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Phil Kalina  😐 #GetVaccinated

      Of course! I am honestly not drawing firm conclusions on what may or may not be happening. But the idea that one can look at ICU/death rates from *March 2020* and compare them to 2021 numbers and draw conclusions like Dr. Feigl-Ding does? Not a good idea and, imo, not helpful.https://twitter.com/pkalina/status/1380155394480340993 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Phil Kalina  😐 #GetVaccinated @pkalina
      Replying to @zeynep
      Since last year, docs have learned to avoid putting patients on ventilators if possible. Thus patients on ventilators this year are likely to be sicker that such patients last year. Can’t this be an explanation for the rise in mortality? https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2767021 …
      4 replies 12 retweets 150 likes
      Show this thread
    10. Darren Dahly‏ @statsepi 8 Apr 2021
      Replying to @zeynep

      This has been one of the take home messages for me: the outcomes change, the predictors change, and very nature of the data collection changes based on what else is happening. It's an inferential nightmare (for anyone who actually understands how to use data to inform decisions)

      3 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 8 Apr 2021
      Replying to @statsepi

      I know. I am fascinated by the inference part (have always been) but I’ve been writing on the policy side and my sense is that we know broadly enough for the policy side but there really are big open remaining questions on the causal side.

      7:07 AM - 8 Apr 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • Stefan Baral Darren Dahly
      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2022 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info