or opposite could happen. need to be on message that 3 vax's in US work extraordinarily well-e..g., far better than most common vax's, antibiotic Rx of most common infns, other routine medical Rxs. best attack vs #COVID19 caused by any type of SARS-CoV-2 is rapid & widespread vax
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Replying to @ClancyNeil @zeynep and
Agreed. People don’t really appreciate how amazing these vaccines are.
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Replying to @notdred @ClancyNeil and
I have friends around the world who don't have access to vaccines, & I'm more worried about them *now* than pretty much anytime last year. The risk is here—likely worse—for the unvaccinated. "Fairly unlikely bad vaccine future scenario prominently in the news" is really jarring.
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I think the worst part is that both of these things are and are not true. Yes, we will likely see variants emerge and NPIs remain important. But no, "mutations mutating just a little more" is not the concern. We do need to continue with NPIs *and* focus on global vaccination.
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Replying to @angie_rasmussen @zeynep and
Exactly. It’s a problem but it shouldn’t be overemphasized/misapplied to support the priors of the speaker.
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I agree too that the issues for future variants are much more imperative for the unvaccinated. The vaccines generally work well enough that we are unlikely to see selection for vaccine "evasion". We are more likely to see selection for more fit/transmissible variants.
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Replying to @angie_rasmussen @notdred and
And some of those may have some (but not complete) vaccine resistance or increased pathogenicity, but that would likely be incidental to variants that emerge because of a fitness or transmission advantage.
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Replying to @angie_rasmussen @notdred and
And I guess my personal bias/concern is that I’m connected to people around the world with no access to vaccines. The problem is urgent and here. Rankling to see so much (not that sound) speculation about maybe future threats or exaggerated variant headlines.
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Yes agreed. Variants or not, leaders in the US and other wealthy, vaccine-hoarding countries have not adequately reckoned with the fact that a pandemic by definition is a global crisis. This isn’t over for any of us until it’s over for all of us worldwide.
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Replying to @angie_rasmussen @zeynep and
I thought COVAX was established for this reason but apparently that does eff all despite countries contributing money to it?
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There isn't enough vaccines to purchase mainly because rich countries have bought up all the supply, and we are not doing enough to increase it. That's the problem right now, not just money.
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Replying to @zeynep @rdmghost1 and
Another part of the story may be poorly designed contracts that don't allow the government to donate doses: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2021/04/why-the-us-still-cant-donate-covid-19-vaccines-to-countries-in-need … Complete nightmare scenario, but it seems to me there is a simple fix if the government can insure manufacturers or get recipients to indemnify
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This seems like a problem money can solve.
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