I don't why it's so easy to believe this idea (with us since seat belts, at least) that the benefits of something that works to greatly increase safety will be undone by people becoming so reckless that it overwhelms the safety benefit, but it seems so pervasive.
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Anyway, when many people in a community are vaccinated, those who cannot yet be vaccinated (like young people for whom we don't yet have vaccines, but will soon) are less likely to be infected. It's exactly what one should expect, but nice to see a paper. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.03.26.21254394v1 …pic.twitter.com/sD5kThfQmU
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Indeed. But as decades of research reveals, well, safety devices increase safety, and most things kinda work in straightforward ways. Poverty is alleviated by—gasp—money, health is improved by effective vaccines, seatbelts make cars safer, etc.https://twitter.com/robmickey/status/1379560718744305669 …
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Yes. I am not denying that a second order effect could, sometimes, overwhelm a first order effect, but it's a bit reach and an epistemic move one should approach with great suspicion unless data is strong and mechanism actually realistic etc.https://twitter.com/LinchZhang/status/1379561073234178051 …
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Will it? As we have increased vaccination, the virus has to look for new hosts... and younger ppl would increasingly fill that role. I'm seeing crazy behavior in youth sports, for example.
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So this is like when I was growing up a conservative white evangelical kid and our parents wouldn’t let us get the HPV vaccine because it might make us slutty.
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And drivers with seat belts with drive more recklessly. And cyclists with helmets will act as if they are invincible.
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