What I notice in this piece is the sheer number of informed people, all saying the same thing - variants mean it’s not over yethttps://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/03/health/coronavirus-variants-vaccines.html?referringSource=articleShare …
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I suspect it is something to do with infectiousness of 2nd infections, but like I said, don’t have the data

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One plausible path. Or a slight forward shift in incubation period that makes it more susceptible to NPIs (that one isn't my theory).
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It’s super interesting and obviously very relevant. Yet utterly missing from the “oh noes vaccines are useless against the SA variant” (which is obviously not what has been shown whatsoever but alas) message that’s now spreading.