What I notice in this piece is the sheer number of informed people, all saying the same thing - variants mean it’s not over yethttps://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/03/health/coronavirus-variants-vaccines.html?referringSource=articleShare …
-
-
Yes really interesting that. I have my own views on what might have produced it, but don’t have data to address the question
-
many mechanistic links. problem is nonspecific, "immune escape." It is why sera escape is the better definition. Virologists...
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
What actually happened in South Africa?
-
I had the same question
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Sorry if I'm being obtuse, but isn't that the ebbing of a wave? Didn't most of the world encounter waves all last year, and obviously*also* without vaccination? Huh?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
We have a reasonable theory for how the virus spreads. Our understanding of how surges end is more limited, to put it diplomatically. Still many susceptible people, still plenty of virus, hard to document substantial changes in behavior and yet surges end
-
I totally agree. There are clearly big unknowns here that are being somewhat ignored—to put it less diplomatically. I feel like we are being epistemologically over-confident which is fueling lack of curiosity/research into deeply relevant and quite interesting remaining puzzles.
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Right. And conversely, India is not where we would have expected to see one of the biggest run-ups in cases, looking just at genome surveillance.https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-india-cases/india-says-virus-variants-not-behind-upsurge-in-cases-idUSKBN2AN16I …
-
And a similar scenario playing across many South Asian countries. I suspect strong seasonality (an aspect which has been underplayed by many experts) with Covid. March-May tend to be the hottest months of the year in many parts.
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.