New push to prioritize 1st vax doses. Most now agree on points I and others made long ago:
• 1st dose is 80% protective
• 2x more people protected 80% is better than 1x at 90%
• Vax reduces emergence of escape mutations
• UK knew what they were doing
@michaelmina_lab @zeynephttps://twitter.com/statnews/status/1378165374424846336 …
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given our supply in the US, we would only need to delay 2nd doses by a few weeks to make a huge difference.
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The time to do it for us was in January. Even if we canceled everyone's second appointments right away it seems like any medium term benefit would be outweighed by the harm downstream to credibility once we start getting into more vaccine hesitant populations.
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