Skip to content
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
Verified account
@zeynep

Tweets

zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

Tweets

  • © 2022 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. This Tweet is unavailable.
    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 Mar 2021
      Replying to @bkeegan

      Where are you getting one out of 25?

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    3. Brian Keegan‏ @bkeegan 18 Mar 2021
      Replying to @zeynep

      “Being a child 0-4 the risk against hospitalization is 96 percent.” 1-.96=.04=1/25 infected children are hospitalized

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 Mar 2021
      Replying to @bkeegan

      NO NO NO That’s was a relative risk reduction... Reporting like vaccine efficacy. Wow now I’m realizing everyone is misunderstanding that stat (also people misunderstand vaccine efficacy numbers). It’s not a good way to report risk to be honest.

      1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
    5. Brian Keegan‏ @bkeegan 18 Mar 2021
      Replying to @zeynep

      Well this household of two PhDs with a two-year-old needs a ELI5.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. John Hawkinson‏ @johnhawkinson 18 Mar 2021
      Replying to @bkeegan @zeynep

      The underlying CDC page is…also not great. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/investigations-discovery/hospitalization-death-by-age.html … Why are 5-17 year olds the "reference group"? Do they just have the lowest (best) odds?pic.twitter.com/BINqRUHZC7

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 Mar 2021
      Replying to @johnhawkinson @bkeegan

      They do. But yeah hard to communicate.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. David Lazer‏Verified account @davidlazer 18 Mar 2021
      Replying to @zeynep @johnhawkinson @bkeegan

      & the Atlantic piece makes it even more confusing, since it changes the reference group to 75-84 year olds. I.e., the odds that your 0-4 year old will be hospitalized are ~4% those of an 80 year old (whose odds of hospitalization are < 100%).

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 Mar 2021
      Replying to @davidlazer @johnhawkinson @bkeegan

      Eek yeah. We had the same problem with reporting on the vaccine efficacy, Bloomberg tweeting stuff like 8%, iirc, of vaccinated people had gotten sick. (Trying to report 92% efficacy iirc). I think it took three tries to get them to get the right number.

      8:18 PM - 18 Mar 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • David Lazer arm and hammer and dance
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 Mar 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @davidlazer and

          zeynep tufekci Retweeted Carl T. Bergstrom

          See exasperated thread. Multiple tries...https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1357749673847447554 …

          zeynep tufekci added,

          Carl T. BergstromVerified account @CT_Bergstrom
          Every now and then, media innumeracy is dangerous. This is one of the cases. In fact, 99.98% were Covid-free after 10 days. 0.02% had mild symptoms. @bopinion would only be right if 100% of the control group had caught Covid in eight days. The actual number was 0.22%. https://twitter.com/bopinion/status/1357417924122841089 …
          Show this thread
          0 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo
        1. New conversation
        2. Brian Keegan‏ @bkeegan 18 Mar 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @davidlazer @johnhawkinson

          So the general population should not to perform loss aversion extrapolations on headline risk statistics when it’s actually a relative risk from an unnamed reference group... definitely seems like this should be a bright red line in science journalism norms.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 18 Mar 2021
          Replying to @bkeegan @davidlazer @johnhawkinson

          I think relative risk communication needs enormous work and maybe even testing—it’s not intuitive to most. Also I’m still not sure about the reference group here.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2022 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info