Where are you getting one out of 25?
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& the Atlantic piece makes it even more confusing, since it changes the reference group to 75-84 year olds. I.e., the odds that your 0-4 year old will be hospitalized are ~4% those of an 80 year old (whose odds of hospitalization are < 100%).
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Oh, is THAT how they (err, Oster) calculated it?! Isn't that…just wrong? Even with the handwavy "For comparison’s sake, I’ll phrase the findings the way I would the results of a vaccine trial"
End of conversation
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