It is a jarring shift from shortages but it is reality. Just Pfizer & Moderna are on track for 600 million doses by July. J&J supply is 10+ million per month. We have 100 million Novavax in the pipeline. US only has 260 million vaccine eligible people. https://twitter.com/Valentine721/status/1372184003063726087 …
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Remember how upset we got when we hard a few doses here and there were being wasted? US has at least thirty, likely about sixty million, *already manufactured* doses of vaccines that cannot be used here (no approval) and will NOT be approved in time. We can send them out today.
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Most likely holdup here is the political perception. The administration doesn't want to be seen as sending vaccines while shortages are working their way through. But we can do the math here—these won't be approved in time—and give political support to the smart and humane path.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Josh Wingrove
Yes, of course. Soon enough we will be discussing giving away more of our excess because our pipeline truly exceeds our population likely by hundreds of millions. But, we can do that next month. These are doses needed NOW that we cannot and will not use.https://twitter.com/josh_wingrove/status/1372187510248509452 …
zeynep tufekci added,
Josh WingroveVerified account @josh_wingroveNEWS: Mexico and Canada are at the top of the list for U.S. vaccine exports, whenever they begin, per a US official. Biden said yesterday he's already speaking with countries about this. Mexico asked this week for AstraZeneca shots. Story on@TheTerminal.Show this thread6 replies 25 retweets 250 likesShow this thread -
Look, the US will release these vaccines we clearly won't use—eventually. They won't be approved in time here. The only question is timing. My point is we should do it NOW, especially with more transmissible variants spreading. A vaccine today is worth more than one in a month.
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To folks saying AZ is an inferior vaccine so we shouldn't give it away even if we can't use it. "Not approved yet because US trial not concluded" doesn't mean inferior. Novavax looks spectacular (from trials elsewhere) but also not approved here because trial not concluded...+
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... but it's definitely true that AZ rollout has been a spectacular mess, but that's separate. (I will probably rant on that in my newsletter). So far 11 million doses in UK, ~6 in Europe, 500,000 in Canada have been administered... It's not a vaccine just for poor/brown folk.
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We can figure out the politics of where AZ should go. There are countries with large outbreaks (especially of that terrible B117 variant) in Europe, for example. Other countries elsewhere may ask for them, solving the "optics" issue. What's on us is to demand they get used, now.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted 4030Lisa
Because it's not endangering anyone. It's approved in the UK, Canada, EU and through the WHO coalition, in 140+ countries and has been given to 17 million people in UK and EU. The US FDA requires the trials it requires, and that's a different discussion.https://twitter.com/4030lisa/status/1372230955973410816 …
zeynep tufekci added,
4030Lisa @4030lisaReplying to @zeynepWhy would you choose to endanger others with a vaccine that has not gone through even the minimal rigors of safety testing we currently have? If we cannot release it here because of safety reasons, it should not be sent to jeopardize others for safety reasons elsewhere,either.9 replies 16 retweets 218 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @zeynep
“that won't be approved here soon enough” Why not? Why won’t the FDA just approve the damn thing?
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Because that's not how it works here, and looking at what's going on with their trials (a mess) and the trust issues they are now facing in EU, I am not sure FDA is coming out of this looking bad. But we are where we are, mostly because we got real-world data and they got lucky.
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