...and outside of a handful of small outbreaks, those developed nations remained protected. (Our World In Data has a nice slider map). https://ourworldindata.org/smallpox#number-of-smallpox-cases …pic.twitter.com/GeeYsysPRQ
Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org
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...and outside of a handful of small outbreaks, those developed nations remained protected. (Our World In Data has a nice slider map). https://ourworldindata.org/smallpox#number-of-smallpox-cases …pic.twitter.com/GeeYsysPRQ
...and given the COVID-19 vaccine procurement at the moment, history seems destined to repeat itself with curbing the coronavirus? https://launchandscalefaster.org/COVID-19#Timeline%20of%20COVID%20Vaccine%20Procurement%20Deals …pic.twitter.com/af5bvBH02o
While I want to put more faith in the generosity of high-income nations...if those leaders wanted equitable control of the outbreak, they wouldn't have hoarded these doses in the first place.
There is near-universal agreement that they are not motivated by generosity. What this discussion was about is what, if anything, will motivate them to consider other countries' needs.
If all else fails, we resort to directly appealing to POTUS with a “your legacy” argument. Azar got a national “ending AIDS” program out of it (with Fauci pushing the design). It now gets bipartisan annual funding.
Biden/Trudeau/Merkel/etc.: "We're acquiring another million-billion doses of COVID-19 vaccine for our citizens." Press: "...but your legacy!" Heck, it couldn't hurt. Count me in!
Agree, in fact, working on something like that to whatever degree words have weight right now, but I can see a drop in interest in anything abroad as vaccination makes progress here. The variant situation makes it urgent, imo, because of what's happening "there" *right now.*
So, came across this @RANDEurope report on the economic costs of vaccine nationalism. The findings? 1/https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RBA769-1.html …
1. Vaccine nationalism could cost the global economy up to $1.2 trillion a year in GDP. 2. As long as there is no vaccine against the disease, the global cost associated with COVID-19 and its economic impact could be $3.4 trillion a year. 2/
3. If the poorest countries cannot access vaccines, the world could still lose between $60 billion and $340 billion a year in GDP. 4. For every $1 spent on supplying poorer countries with vaccines, high-income countries would get back about $4.80. end/
zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
Wrote up the case for at least releasing AZ ones, starting to plan for letting go of Novavax (that will also never be approved on time) and added "legacy" (sound familiar @peterstaley?)https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1372164756648423431 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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