I made the chart from CDC data... I know the numbers. I volunteer at a vaccination clinic so I've been directly observing the supply increase. Still... My head knows all this but I keep having to run the numbers myself to wrap my mind around it. Data here:https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#datatracker-home …
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It'll take some work to distangle the various effects here—vaccination, behavior shift, prior immunity, seasonality, factor X... But these are very encouraging trends.
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Absolutely good news, but I'm not convinced you can call it a vaccine effect just yet. Vaccines are probably a part of it but so far the orange line seems to be behaving as it did in the Spring, no
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It's a mix of factors, obviously but the LTCF drop is also very suggestive.
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Interestingly to illustrate the single dose pfizer issue, the faster UK programme has had less relative effect on older groups' hospitalisation (though the overall lockdown effect has been dramatic for all groups)pic.twitter.com/KP6d8EMNmA
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@CindyLLeonard1 JANUARY TENTH omg we were really so close to not losing her -
Yup, the absolute most difficult part for me to get to a place of peace with this. I’m def not there yet. Heartbreaking.
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Here's another view that may show relevant signals .. will look up the new charts and seehttps://twitter.com/scienceflare/status/1366127350975356928 …
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My fingers are crossed, but we've seen this pattern before, and a bigger wave follwed the big drop
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But we didn’t have anyone vaccinated before. That’s a pretty but difference.
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