It's probably going to sweep a lot of European countries—even ones that had massive waves because "massive waves" usually involve 10-30% infected, leaving another 70% vulnerable. I don't understand why it's so hard to explain how exponential threats work, even after a year.
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This is happening in places that enacted severe restrictions. Same thing happened in the UK. Their B117 "bounce" was in reality the normal course of the outbreak after lockdown lifted. In places with no such measures, B117 is showing *no impact*. See many US states, incl. Florida
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Have you heard of this interesting development called "vaccines"? That the United States has a lot of?
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And then there's the prediction in Canada that hasn't panned out, and France... I agree, certainly, that COVID remains a big risk while vaccination rates are low. But I think the predictive value of VOC's for in terms of where that risk translates to reality remains unclear.
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You could say the same thing when Italy was being crushed last spring and it hadn't *yet* "panned out" in France or Canada. Again, prior immunity, vaccination rate and NPIs will impact but ceteris paribus, if Italy is hit, that's a threat to any similar, nearby country.
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