It's probably going to sweep a lot of European countries—even ones that had massive waves because "massive waves" usually involve 10-30% infected, leaving another 70% vulnerable. I don't understand why it's so hard to explain how exponential threats work, even after a year.
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I think there is no doubt that COVID is a huge public health threat (and one that polls show the public does not generally underestimate). It is unclear to me how much VOCs help us give people the right intuitions for how to respond to that threat (or predict the next big wave).
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Places without widespread vaccination risk another surge seems pretty straightforward? Italy reported ~17% of its cases were the UK variant about a month ago. It's lagging in vaccination; cases are already way up, deaths are ticking up.pic.twitter.com/sdrzaB1kk2
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