It was not a good February/March here.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1236307682660843521 …
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci added,
zeynep tufekciVerified account @zeynepReplying to @mattdpearceIt is tough. Pandemics are systemic risks, and systemic risk is hard to communicate. That's also why I was so concerned by the early widespread "it's just like the flu, just a bit worse" messaging! We wasted months, and this is true across the political spectrum.1 reply 3 retweets 38 likesShow this thread -
zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
I spent so much of February early March trying to convince people around me to stop traveling, that canceling conferences/working from home was the right move and we needed to preserve hospital capacity for the incoming surge.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1234552411416678402 …
zeynep tufekci added,
zeynep tufekciVerified account @zeynepI logged onto Facebook for the first time in days and groups are full of people asking about travel. It’s unconscionable that there is no public messaging. The World Health Organization recommends people over 60 or with other conditions to avoid crowds. https://twitter.com/drtedros/status/1233695157888987137 …Show this thread6 replies 9 retweets 112 likesShow this thread -
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Jenna Beacom, M.Ed
Wrong is fine. Happens. Assess and move on. What's telling is the "follow the science" heckling from people with "
#wearamask" bios because I say.. outdoors is safer. Same energy shouting at me because I said wear a mask in March, 2020. Science as talisman.https://twitter.com/jfbeacom/status/1368643595033513984 …zeynep tufekci added,
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted
That's the tragedy. There's no magic. The papers were there. We had the trifecta we needed know to help contain this in February of 2020—that it spread before symptoms emerged (unlike SARS) and that it was airborne and superspreading driven (like SARS). https://twitter.com/R0g3rM3xic0/status/1368646795329409028 …
zeynep tufekci added,
This Tweet is unavailable.8 replies 31 retweets 157 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @zeynep
the sheer amount of aspects of
#SARSCoV2 spread that i read people discovering in April/May as if it were new really made me question my own sanity, it's why i started indexing/cataloguing papers in more detail since then, since... yeah. so much of this *already was there*...1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes -
Replying to @wanderer_jasnah
I learned so much from my Hong Kong networks! And the flood of papers. There were so many high-quality papers in February... The scientific enterprise is a mess of sorts perhaps but it's also been pretty brilliant. Maybe hard to see amidst the social media drama.
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Replying to @zeynep
yep! i read *so many* good CoV papers in February 2020, honestly it's where most of my intuition to this day still comes from.
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Replying to @wanderer_jasnah
Is there a key thing that truly came out much later? Obviously, the question of "long COVID" wasn't there yet because it couldn't be but in terms of the epidemiology and key broad characteristics for setting the NPIs and public-facing guidance? February/early March 2020.
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Replying to @zeynep
nothing really comes to mind, honestly, at least until B.1.1.7 appeared w/improved spread recently. personally by April i had shifted almost entirely from mostly reading CoV papers to mostly reading immunology papers, which is still the case lol.
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So, the convergent evolution part is super interesting to me, but not because I understand the virology/immunology part (lol, no), but because it's actually super relevant to my original field (machine learning/optimization/at-scale evolution/digital public sphere).
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Replying to @zeynep @wanderer_jasnah
zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
When will this mutate was literally my first thought last January 2020—before learned more about CoV (I was flu-anchored like rest of Western world)—then I went to okay no big deal on variants till Nov/December and then a big WTF with B.1.1.7. (https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1222654864888434689 …)
zeynep tufekci added,
zeynep tufekciVerified account @zeynepYes all this is preliminary, and there is still under-diagnosis going on due to test availability etc. And these %@^$#!s mutate. That said, for all of us, washing hands often and not touching one's face and self-isolating if feverish are the sensible steps—as in any flu season.Show this thread1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @zeynep @wanderer_jasnah
But I'm kinda dying to go back to thinking about the isomorphism (yes waving hands hard) between this wowze convergent evolution and stuff I know from human behavior/machine learning targeted at optimizing for particular behaviors that throw up surprising convergence.
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