A terrific take on what epidemiologists missed (understanding human responses and well-performed serological prevalence studies) and (and done well - vaccines) by @maciekboni
Well worth the read!https://theconversation.com/two-gaps-to-fill-for-the-2021-2022-winter-wave-of-covid-19-cases-156169 …
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There is a “freak out threshold” when COVID-19 become the major cause of death, ~cancer & heart disease levels, the news media pays attention, lots of headlines, and there’s a broad increase in public health discipline. I had hoped the threshold would be much lower
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Of course. But I think that mattered less in winter 2021 because of the ideological polarization. Fear certainly has an influence but by January 2021, the interpretation of news was highly-fractured. But the drop is fairly uniform. I think there’s a puzzle there given magnitude.
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The idea that infections declined in the US b/c of behavior changes is absurd. In fact, behavior changes would point to increases. If only there was a researcher who had studied this for 1+ decade and could explain the decline, only her research was blocked from publication...
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