This is a little unfair to us who expressed caution about vaccine impacts on transmission. This caution was because governments around the world had been trailing that they were going to declare an abrupt end to other measures once rollout was completehttps://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/02/how-public-health-messaging-backfired/618147/ …
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US hospitals have cut down their outbreaks almost to zero (outside of unmasked breakroom incident) after implementing univeral masking (and not N95s) but they were having a good deal before. Why is that not evidence?
End of conversation
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What’s the difference between caution and “we have no idea”?
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"We expect these vaccine to reduce transmission, especially since they cut symptomatic disease by 95% and we already have some evidence they even cut asymptomatic infection by two thirds. But these are preliminary and we'll update guidelines very soon after more real world data."
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