I’m not saying it was a wise thing to rush out to celebrate. But how many events like this have we had? Outdoors but widely condemned, confidently called called superspreader. But wasn’t, barely reported. (UNC tests all students on campus twice a week and off campus once a week).https://twitter.com/JoedyMcCreary/status/1362881044551237639 …
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The amount of energy we spend confidently predicting catastrophe from things we can see while ignoring a year of evidence on where the high risk are—indoors, workplaces, mostly poor and minority essential workers, crowded housing, congregate living, elderly.
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No doubt young people can contribute a lot to spread, but the way to deal with that is to figure out the risks and avoid driving them into crowded indoor socializing and to test them often. (Also don’t gather them in dorms & send them home in a panic without testing. Like Fall.)
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted
Nope. It was a maskless and prolonged indoor event. We just got more media pictures from the outdoors portion because... looking for keys under the light is easier. (Outdoor transmission isn't impossible. Just really rare and much harder). https://twitter.com/Maxtropolitan/status/1363505037410975745 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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I published my first piece pleading to keep parks open & letting people socialize outdoors on April 1st 2020. I stand by every word. It wasn't that complicated. The epi data, the reasons, the sociology of a sustainable pandemic response. It was all there. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/closing-parks-ineffective-pandemic-theater/609580/ …pic.twitter.com/ldahx4cLj0
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I was trying, desperately, to warn us to get ready in February of 2020—and being lectured about being too panicky—but also trying to swat down the baseless moral panic once we started having more clarity on the shape of the risk—and being told, a lot, to stay in my lane.
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It makes sense to be extra cautious at first when facing a murky, exponential threat. But if we don't then adjust the communication and the rules as the shape of the risk becomes clearer & have proper trade-off discussions, we get fatigue, non-compliance and *more risk* not less.
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Replying to @zeynep
Chicago messaging was terrible. Just the incessant “stay home.” Closed the lakefront, parks, trails. Getting outside actually kept many safer and saner!
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Replying to @zeynep
I got outside a lot; the burbs weren’t locked down. Biking, paddling and this winter learned to cross country ski. Stayed out of bars and restaurants, and still got to hug mom.
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