I've been banging the optimism drum recently, but this is the central reason for worryhttps://www.latimes.com/science/story/2021-02-23/california-homegrown-coronavirus-strain-looks-increasingly-transmissible-and-dangerous …
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Agreed! I rt’ed a bunch of stuff along those lines right after it.
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In the macro sense the case for pessimism (which I think is weaker than the case for optimism) is that *in general* the longer the virus goes unsuppressed the more chance we give it for mutations that may wreak havoc.
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100% this. Where are the data?
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The way these things get reported—highlighting drops in neutralizing antibodies which don’t really correspond to similar drops in vaccine effectiveness—has been truly confusing. I do not see a doom scenario from just this article, just one more reason to keep vaccinating fast.
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I live in Riverside county, where the CA strain has been detected abundantly for months and where a large portion of people are as resistant to mitigation measures as in deep Orange County or Long Beach. But our
#s have been free falling since mid Jan. A good sign for vaccines? -
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i realize that LA really got slammed, but i'm looking at covid cases in CA vs Texas over the past few months, and per capita Texas looks... worse?
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Overall yes. California was doing far better than most of the country (and still is better than much of it, like Florida and overall, Texas), until this variant hit.
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If the Hippocratic Oath is "First, do no harm," the scientist's oath is "First, where is the paper?"
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