It makes sense to be extra cautious at first when facing a murky, exponential threat. But if we don't then adjust the communication and the rules as the shape of the risk becomes clearer & have proper trade-off discussions, we get fatigue, non-compliance and *more risk* not less.
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*called. Only once! Sorry typing on the phone only goes so far.

https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1363490391287345160 …Show this thread -
Request: I'm not aware of any outdoor-only superspreader event. The rare confirmed outdoor transmission cases usually involve lengthy and high-exertion (huffing & puffing) contact. If know of any, please send them. Been tracking down reports for a year.https://twitter.com/roelschroeven/status/1364239981519265793 …
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Outdoor transmission is not impossible, though seems to be really high bar, so far. It may even happen because something *changes* that we should be aware of. At some point, though absence of evidence *is* evidence exactly because we are looking hard. So please send counters!
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I generally agree, but the wrinkle in that analysis is the spread of more contagious variants. If there's going to be one more wave, it'll be the new variants combined with relaxation of standards on masks and social distancing...
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It still blows my mind people are physically entering grocery stores. That seems like one of the absolute easiest and most effective changes that could make widespread change.
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Combination of mask requirements (limiting potential viral output), high ceilings (aiding in dispersal) and typically minimal close contact make grocery stores generally a lower risk environment (Though not as much for the staff, with much longer exposure time)
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Following very similar pattern to 51 years ago and in accordance with H-S seasonalitypic.twitter.com/k6tgWfsXqp
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It will be interesting in 6 months the urban vs. rural cases. I’ll be honest I think it would safer to pack a bar in New York City that a random bar in upstate New York.
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With vaccinations for the elderly really ramping up, even if we have another spike of cases from variants it seems like the death numbers are very unlikely to return to highs of January.
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B.1.1.7?
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