I’m not saying it was a wise thing to rush out to celebrate. But how many events like this have we had? Outdoors but widely condemned, confidently called called superspreader. But wasn’t, barely reported. (UNC tests all students on campus twice a week and off campus once a week).https://twitter.com/JoedyMcCreary/status/1362881044551237639 …
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Oh I completely agree. I'm just pontificating on why we did or didn't see a spike here. My prior would have been to see a modest one (again, NOT from the outdoor stuff), so now I'm trying to reassess why not.
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UNC is testing properly this time (unlike last time!) and this is where some qualitative work would be really helpful: asking the students what they did and did not do/or know. A spike would have been possible, but a superspreading event would surely have an indoor component.
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If these are mostly college kids out celebrating, a good proportion have already had it. At this time most of those out and about are the ones who were risking it prior and most likely already infected. Won't see changes until everyone is out there, the naive, etc...
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Yup, vaccinate the least likely to follow social distancing protocol first.
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