you know i'm a microbiologist right. i disagree with what you've been writing for months and months. as do many other experts.
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Onto the sociology: the thing that makes people "go wild" is the opposite, it's losing hope that there's an endgame that fuels noncompliance. Right now we have more than a pile of anectodes on this: polls that show blunting transmission is a key motivation for vaccine.
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i'll trust you as a sociologist! will you trust ME as a molecular microbiologist =)
End of conversation
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this 95% CI is based on back of the envelope math with assumptions that I – a microbiologist – don't fully accept (including assumptions about Ct). This is not enough to KNOW something and you'd be laughed out of a committee meeting or rejected for peer review for claiming that
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I didn't send it for the estimate, but the thread compiles the evidence that vaccines will reduce infectiousness. Every piece of evidence we have points in that direction, no? We aren't sure how much, but we know it will be some?
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