yeah, the problem is, you can do this indefinitely. You can wipe COVID off the planet and still argue for more restrictions because "we don't know" if it will come back at any time. The adjustments we're making are not slight.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1358530598969704456 …
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Replying to @NRafter
We don’t always face pandemics! And if we had acted early, we could have avoided most of this.
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You keep saying this, but there is scant evidence that this is true. You seize on the evidence you like, ignore the evidence you don't like. Respiratory viruses are very hard to control, and it turns out we haven't solved the problem yet.
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Replying to @beenwrekt @NRafter
South Korea is an excellent example. They got hit so bad—really unlucky mega-superspreading event. They beat it back. Flu, agree. This one is so overdispersed that we had a chance. If China could, we could have too. The overdispersion is key: makes early action super potent.
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Replying to @zeynep @beenwrekt
I mean China's response included welding apartment doors shut. There's no way we can do what China did in the United States.
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Sure. South Korea is better example. Japan too. Neither eradicated but had a life while waiting for vaccine. Some key right moves early—and not same ones! There’s a toolkit.
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