From the last day of 2020. I got the usual push-back for calling the new variant a "ticking time bomb". Alarm isn't alarmism if it's warranted. Now it's more than a month later, and I'll repeat. We. Will. Get. Hit. With. This—moderated by our vaccination rates and our measures.https://twitter.com/AdrienneLaF/status/1358525588135424002 …
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When a pathogen changes & when we're facing an exponential threat, first, the response has to be to adjust ourselves defensively, despite the uncertainty and then, if warranted, adjust it again as information comes out. "We don't know yet" is a cause for *more* action, not same.
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted Covid One Year Ago
Oh look, what the county that had open schools, indoor dining and concerts for all of last year was doing one year ago today. (Exponentials: one gets ahead of them very quickly or one gets steamrolled. Vaccination: exponentials that work in our favor).https://twitter.com/YearCovid/status/1358435348594892800 …
zeynep tufekci added,
Covid One Year Ago @YearCovid7 Feb 2020 Taiwan mobilises the military to assist with mask production, aiming to increase supply from 4 to 10 million masks per day. Until production increases, each citizen will receive a ration of two masks per week https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3869320 pic.twitter.com/GhM6BHViLbShow this thread7 replies 142 retweets 439 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @zeynep
How are vaccinations an exponential in our favor? Vaccinations tend to roll out at a mostly fixed pace, once we hit say 2 - 3 million/day. Do you mean a linear curve in our favor?
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
No, exponential. They will also cut down transmission chains.
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