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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. Adrienne LaFrance‏Verified account @AdrienneLaF 7 Feb 2021

      The U.K. variant is now tearing across the U.S., doubling its prevalence among confirmed infections every 10 days. I highly recommend @zeynep on how to think about the dangers posed by variants, and the flaw in oversimplifying new strains as “less deadly”https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/12/virus-mutation-catastrophe/617531/ …

      18 replies 436 retweets 714 likes
    2. Hank Scorpio‏ @cartoon_magoo 7 Feb 2021
      Replying to @AdrienneLaF @RadioFreeTom @zeynep

      Do we know why the UK variant is so much more infectious? What's the best working theory about what properties it has that are different or which transmission mechanism it's better able to take advantage of?

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Feb 2021
      Replying to @cartoon_magoo @AdrienneLaF @RadioFreeTom

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Prof. Shane Crotty

      The mutation is in the spike protein, but crucially, the mechanism may be higher viral loads in the upper respiratory tract.https://twitter.com/profshanecrotty/status/1348003470733758464 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Prof. Shane Crotty @profshanecrotty
      1/ One pre-print on B117 viral loads (i.e., B.1.1.7 SARS-CoV-2 ) found substantially higher viral loads (median 10-100 times). Another UK study found 3 times higher viral loads in people with B117 (Bonsall/Golubchik study). https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.24.20248834v1 … https://www.coronavirus-fraser-group.org/files/files/updated_report_to_nervtag_oxford_20201222.pdf …
      Show this thread
      3 replies 9 retweets 31 likes
    4. I Brake 4 Ants‏ @ibrake4ants 7 Feb 2021
      Replying to @zeynep @cartoon_magoo and

      Virologist Vincent Racaniello and others are still saying it’s not clear whether the UK mutation is more transmissible.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Feb 2021
      Replying to @ibrake4ants @cartoon_magoo and

      It may even turn out they are right—that's the nature of science, though I think it is increasingly unlikely. That said, given the nature of the exponential threat, we *must* act like it is likely more transmissible as soon as the threat became credible enough.

      2:07 PM - 7 Feb 2021
      • 7 Likes
      • Rohan Naidu John Dowe Deirdre Connolly¹ Sharon Apple Marissa I Brake 4 Ants Hank Scorpio
      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. I Brake 4 Ants‏ @ibrake4ants 7 Feb 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @cartoon_magoo and

          I agree it’s much wiser to err on the side of caution. I didn’t even know there were virologists who didn’t agree with the conclusion that it’s more transmissible until a couple of days ago.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Feb 2021
          Replying to @ibrake4ants @cartoon_magoo and

          Almost every big question has legit people who are convinced of various answers. I think that's normal and even healthy in a fast-moving epidemic. The policy question is two-fold: when to act because of preponderance of evidence and when to act because tail-risk is high.

          0 replies 2 retweets 7 likes
        4. End of conversation

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