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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Feb 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Adrienne LaFrance

      From the last day of 2020. I got the usual push-back for calling the new variant a "ticking time bomb". Alarm isn't alarmism if it's warranted. Now it's more than a month later, and I'll repeat. We. Will. Get. Hit. With. This—moderated by our vaccination rates and our measures.https://twitter.com/AdrienneLaF/status/1358525588135424002 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Adrienne LaFranceVerified account @AdrienneLaF
      The U.K. variant is now tearing across the U.S., doubling its prevalence among confirmed infections every 10 days. I highly recommend @zeynep on how to think about the dangers posed by variants, and the flaw in oversimplifying new strains as “less deadly”https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/12/virus-mutation-catastrophe/617531/ …
      24 replies 330 retweets 1,169 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Arieh Kovler‏Verified account @ariehkovler 7 Feb 2021
      Replying to @zeynep

      This is exactly what happened here in Israel. The B.1.1.7 variant spread so fast that it became 90% of cases outside of Arab towns, overwhelmed the lockdown and caused cases to start rising again. Even the very fast vaccine programme isn't fast enough to stem it much (yet).

      3 replies 28 retweets 74 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Feb 2021
      Replying to @ariehkovler

      Yeah. It's pretty frustrating. It's been more than a month since it's become clear that we would get hit, and we got a lot of "keep masking, distancing" kind of advice rather than explaining to people that, ceteris paribus, more transmissible means different safety thresholds.

      1:45 PM - 7 Feb 2021
      • 13 Retweets
      • 88 Likes
      • Linda Barlow Shelley Shelor G. M. B. ❄Suez❄ 🏳️‍🌈🌊🦓🥄😷 Cato leanne schaefer Sue Daly Dr. KCD
      7 replies 13 retweets 88 likes
        1. Jen Temple‏ @jatemple 7 Feb 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @ariehkovler

          And yet we have multiple cities and states opening up indoor dining again. I just don't get it.

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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        2. Arieh Kovler‏Verified account @ariehkovler 7 Feb 2021
          Replying to @zeynep

          Also even if you vaccinate 80% of the over-60s, which is *great*, a more infectious virus and sky high case count is enough to make a lot of that remaining 20% sick. That 80% only buys you a few days of exponential growth.

          2 replies 5 retweets 29 likes
        3. Arieh Kovler‏Verified account @ariehkovler 7 Feb 2021
          Replying to @ariehkovler @zeynep

          I think my takeaway from Israel is that mass vaccination can probably prevent a Covid wave, but it will never be fast enough to stop a wave once it's here.

          2 replies 7 retweets 44 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Amy B  🥧 ☕️‏ @SparklesBooth 7 Feb 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @ariehkovler

          Friends and family think I’m a lunatic for telling them that we need new safety calculations b/c of the variants. But my household has now shifted from regular-hermit to super-hermit mode.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Ken Miller‏ @KenAVL 8 Feb 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @ariehkovler

          Zeynep, do you expect the hospitalization rate to rise in NC as a result of this new variant? If so, when?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Mike Staresinic‏ @MikeStaresinic 8 Feb 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @ariehkovler

          Glad to hear this real world stuff. What shall we do besides stay home more, stay masked, distant, wash hands, stay out of groups?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. life neurotic with steve's issues‏ @fartleksburpees 8 Feb 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @ariehkovler

          i just want to take a moment to applaud - even if fewer than a handful of people will hear it - the use of ceteris paribus in a tweet. because that is my version of a timeline cleanser, a little sophistication amidst the usual argumentative toxicity of a twitter feed.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Pat Fuller #DefenderOfDemocracy #IWillVote‏ @bannerite 7 Feb 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @ariehkovler

          Please expand on this.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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