From the last day of 2020. I got the usual push-back for calling the new variant a "ticking time bomb". Alarm isn't alarmism if it's warranted. Now it's more than a month later, and I'll repeat. We. Will. Get. Hit. With. This—moderated by our vaccination rates and our measures.https://twitter.com/AdrienneLaF/status/1358525588135424002 …
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Oh look, what the county that had open schools, indoor dining and concerts for all of last year was doing one year ago today. (Exponentials: one gets ahead of them very quickly or one gets steamrolled. Vaccination: exponentials that work in our favor).https://twitter.com/YearCovid/status/1358435348594892800 …
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Be more strict for the time being. Better masks if you have to be indoors with others. I've cut down on optional things I was cautiously doing; will re-evaluate in March. (I do volunteer at a vaccination clinic—wearing an N95—but that's a *worth it* risk.)https://twitter.com/TheRideshareGuy/status/1358547944417333248 …
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Do you know of any good US modeling of the impact of the B117 variant?
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Do you think schools that are open should close? Silly time for closed schools to reopen?
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Learn from Israel as
@ariehkovler suggests - Here a *massive* vaccination campaign that saw over 70% of 60yo+ vaccinated in a month has not been enough to stem the tide of B.1.1.7. Max mitigation is imperative - vaccines alone cannot workThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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HIgh filtration masks (N95, P100, Kf94,...) are the actual backstop for individuals. Exhalation valves will save more than they kill by allowing many high risk people to survive their relatives bringing home Covid. Some won't tolerate a N95 without an exhalation port.
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Put a surgical mask over it. The additional resistance relative to an uncovered port is minimal.
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Only the ignorant and the sociopathic have asserted, at any point in the pandemic, that "We don't know yet" and therefore we should stop or delay action. (Unfortunately ignorance and sociopathy have been common.)
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No, prudence principle applies to society and economy as well. You don't destroy the very fabric of society (which is what lockdowns do) unless you are sure it is indispensable to avoid apocalyptic risks for society (civil war , 20% deaths, that sort of thing). For B117 /
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We are 100% sure society would survive very well to it, so we should absolutelty not lockdown for it.
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