When a pathogen changes & when we're facing an exponential threat, first, the response has to be to adjust ourselves defensively, despite the uncertainty and then, if warranted, adjust it again as information comes out. "We don't know yet" is a cause for *more* action, not same.
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Oh look, what the county that had open schools, indoor dining and concerts for all of last year was doing one year ago today. (Exponentials: one gets ahead of them very quickly or one gets steamrolled. Vaccination: exponentials that work in our favor).https://twitter.com/YearCovid/status/1358435348594892800 …
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Be more strict for the time being. Better masks if you have to be indoors with others. I've cut down on optional things I was cautiously doing; will re-evaluate in March. (I do volunteer at a vaccination clinic—wearing an N95—but that's a *worth it* risk.)https://twitter.com/TheRideshareGuy/status/1358547944417333248 …
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It's going to be far worse in the EU
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That's why they're having a meltdown over the slow vaccination pace
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Moderated a LOT by vaccines. It won't look like the UK at all.
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If the transmission is 40% higher you need 30% of the population vaccinate to offset. That probably won't happen in time.
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It doesn’t always help though. Many of us can’t be any safer than we already are. This shit just increases paranoia and anxiety which are eventually quite detrimental to emotional AND physical well being.
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This is exactly what happened here in Israel. The B.1.1.7 variant spread so fast that it became 90% of cases outside of Arab towns, overwhelmed the lockdown and caused cases to start rising again. Even the very fast vaccine programme isn't fast enough to stem it much (yet).
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Cases started rising only in the unvaccinated, I believe.
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